Do you remember all the talk about how pollsters during the primaries were lowballing Obama’s numbers because cell phone only voters (read young people) were not being sampled? I can testify that it’s not only “the youth vote” we’re talking about here as I have no landline phone and I’m not in the under 35 crowd. I digress …. Nate Silver, the total wonk-turned-celeb and genius behind fivethirtyeight.com has some analysis of this in currently polling. Go check it out: The Cell Phone Effect, Continued. Essentially, he finds that in the polls which include cell numbers, Obama has a larger lead.
Note: I know that I said I wasn’t going to say anything else about polling today besides:
Polls mean nothing if they’re not backed up by votes.
But I spent many hours studying and debating this issue during the primaries and feel somewhat vindicated by Silver’s analysis. So there.