NC Governor Mike Easely was on the Rachel Maddow show tonight talking about how Obama might carry his state. He mentioned seeing a pick up truck complete with gun rack sporting two Obama bumper stickers. He explained the iconography of that in his traditionally red state:
I like McCain, but I love my job.
I’ve left Alabama for the Tar Heel state this weekend to celebrate my Grandfather’s 95th birthday. I’ll be spending a lot of time hanging out with the (much) more conservative side of my family, most of them living in the state of North Carolina.
This morning at breakfast, my Great Aunt asked my Aunt if Obama had a chance of winning in North Carolina. My Aunt answered, essentially, “when hell freezes over.” (Note: this Aunt would never say ‘hell’ in public.) Don’t be so sure.
On Thursday, Rasmussen moved NC from the “Leans GOP” category to the “Toss Up” column. Why? Well, while several factors apparently go into the ranking, one of them is the latest polling and that has Obama up, by 3 points, in the State. This isn’t completely new as Obama has been up in North Carolina for a couple of weeks. North Carolina is certainly following national polling, which shows Obama holding a five to six point lead over the past nine days.
Other interesting things are happening in North Carolina. Almost all recent polls have challenger Kay Hagan (D) up over Republican incumbent Libby Dole in that Senate race. In the race for Governor, Rasmussen Markets now gives Democrat Bev Perdue a 52% chance of winning to Republican Pat McCrory’s 48%.
It does seem like too much to hope that Democrats would sweep these three major races in November. And certainly Republicans (and probably many Dems) are taking it for granted that it simply won’t happen. But I don’t think it’s false hope to consider that it just might and I think the GOP understands the threat, evidenced by the fact that as recently as 9/21, McCain was moving resources to the state.
In this election, there’s just not much that can be taken for granted.
Rasmussen has Obama up five points over McCain in its latest poll in Virginia. Really. Go see for yourself:
Obama Takes Five-Point Lead in Virginia
If you live in a purple state, please, please, please for the love of everything watch your mail closely. There are reports swirling around that the McCain camp (directed by Rove?) is sending out absentee ballots *unsolicited* to voters and these absentee ballots are NOT CORRECT. In some cases (Ohio, for instance) the ballots have an extra box which must be checked to be valid. In other cases (Iowa, FL, VA, at least), the ballots are marked with mailing addresses for the wrong county and even the wrong state, meaning that the vote WILL NOT COUNT. And if the voter tries to vote again, she will be hit with fraud charges. These ballots are not just being sent to Republicans, but to Democrats and Independents, as well.
My assumption is that if you’re reading this, you’re pretty savvy and wouldn’t be fooled. So what you need to do is be aware and educate those around you. Get this info out to your mailing lists, tell your friends, neighbors, family … spread the word. We cannot let the Rovians steal this election. It just can’t happen.